Bundesliga
Bundesliga expected goals
Updated after every round. H. Kane leads the way with 13.6 xG.
| # | Player | Club | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | Bayern Munich | 13.6 |
| 2 | S. Guirassy | Borussia Dortmund | 8.3 |
| 3 | O. Marmoush | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7.5 |
| 4 | V. Boniface | Bayer Leverkusen | 5.7 |
| 5 | L. Openda | RB Leipzig | 5.7 |
| 6 | E. Demirović | VfB Stuttgart | 4.9 |
| 7 | J. Musiala | Bayern Munich | 4.9 |
| 8 | M. Beier | TSG Hoffenheim | 4 |
| 9 | F. Wirtz | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 |
| 10 | J. Kimmich | Bayern Munich | 1.4 |
| 11 | N. Schlotterbeck | Borussia Dortmund | 1.4 |
| 12 | R. Zentner | Mainz 05 | 0.5 |
Figures are compiled from match data on this site and recalculated after each round. Expected goals estimate the quality of the chances a player has taken.
Reading the numbers
H. Kane leads the Bundesliga expected goals standings on 13.6 xG for Bayern Munich, with S. Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund) 5.3 behind. Third place belongs to O. Marmoush on 7.5.
The table lists 12 players and 61.9 xG in total. Bayern Munich are the best represented club in the top ten with 3 entries, which says as much about how they share the workload as about individual quality.
Expected goals (xG) estimates the quality of the chances a player has taken, not just how many he has scored. A shot from six yards is worth far more than a shot from 25, and xG adds those probabilities together across a season. Compare xG with actual goals: a big positive gap suggests clinical finishing or a small sample, a big negative gap usually means either bad luck or a forward who is getting into the right positions without converting.
When comparing entries, remember that opportunity drives output. Minutes played decide how often a player can add to his tally, so a squad player with a strong per-90 rate can outrank a starter over a full season. Every figure on this page is recalculated after each round, so the order you see is the order after the most recent matchday in the Bundesliga.
Common questions
Who has the most expected goals in the Bundesliga this season?
H. Kane of Bayern Munich, with 13.6 xG.
How many players are ranked in this expected goals table?
12, covering 61.9 xG between them.
Who is second in the Bundesliga expected goals table?
S. Guirassy of Borussia Dortmund on 8.3 xG.